Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 92.126184 102.525802 113.139105 124.751203 137.069526 149.719648 163.664453
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 75.893049 90.945890 106.970919 125.181314 145.185163 166.381843 190.433225
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 64.874120 82.350420 101.562108 124.003889 149.264917 176.604973 208.219855
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 58.143381 77.561472 99.494164 125.697531 155.768984 188.852346 227.660007
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 53.032909 74.009879 98.284032 127.856845 162.356086 200.829756 246.490376
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 47.007482 68.788121 94.630841 126.739050 164.804665 207.815769 259.431038
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 41.010387 63.082626 89.957040 124.012377 165.030837 211.968497 268.893339
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 38.989906 62.208335 91.010239 128.018587 173.084226 225.099075 288.630652
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 36.688206 60.761886 91.190473 130.828595 179.612518 236.386548 306.200688
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 32.918744 57.071962 88.300889 129.645640 181.162582 241.688807 316.689862
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 29.535353 53.650102 85.545174 128.445889 182.540189 246.668969 326.708149
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 27.213407 51.542554 84.372047 129.137055 186.154066 254.259936 339.773033
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 24.906993 49.325142 82.974726 129.506882 189.382962 261.446801 352.468815
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 23.006091 47.569525 82.103748 130.488754 193.336079 269.497932 366.213246
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 20.542926 44.755190 79.616393 129.209861 194.323866 273.850625 375.450118
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 19.231262 43.643659 79.442120 130.956223 199.133910 282.880817 390.343296
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 18.161631 42.837731 79.644886 133.169285 204.520958 292.618421 406.107863
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 16.239551 40.458177 77.451387 132.023234 205.483234 296.809270 415.072432
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 14.064452 37.437108 74.155962 129.226807 204.183089 298.091455 420.406835
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 13.773380 37.728711 75.816007 133.335277 211.982172 310.826025 439.874335
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 13.207363 37.471835 76.613799 136.216272 218.154092 321.518715 456.844683
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 11.753079 35.429595 74.573167 135.003505 218.823238 325.208021 465.118264
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 10.421300 33.480313 72.576990 133.773411 219.407518 328.746061 473.174531